The Profits Circle analytics dashboard displaying portfolio backtesting charts
Platform Features

Every tool built for long-horizon financial decisions

The Profits Circle combines historical market backtesting with AI-driven scenario modeling so households can stress-test plans before committing real capital.

Access Platform

Core Capability Snapshot

Backtest Depth40+ yrs
Scenario EngineAI-Assisted
Portfolio InputsUnlimited
Output FormatVisual Reports
What's Inside

A complete toolkit for evidence-based planning

Each module is designed to translate raw historical data and probabilistic modeling into decisions households can actually act on.

Backtesting Engine

Historical Scenario Replay

Run any portfolio allocation against decades of historical market data to see how it would have performed across recessions, rallies, and rate cycles.

Predictive Modeling

AI-Assisted Projections

Machine learning models surface forward-looking probability ranges rather than single-point guesses, helping frame realistic best- and worst-case outcomes.

Goal Mapping

Milestone Tracking

Attach financial goals — retirement, education, property — to specific timeframes and see which allocations keep each milestone on track.

Risk Analysis

Drawdown & Volatility Views

Visualize maximum historical drawdowns and volatility bands for a given strategy so risk tolerance is matched before exposure, not after.

Comparative Reports

Side-by-Side Strategy Comparison

Place multiple allocation strategies next to each other with consistent metrics, making trade-offs between growth and stability easier to evaluate.

Data Transparency

Source & Assumption Logs

Every backtest and projection ships with a visible log of data sources, time windows, and modeling assumptions used to generate the result.

The Profits Circle household planning interface shown on a laptop screen
Why It's Built This Way

Designed around how households actually decide

Most planning tools assume a single advisor relationship or a static spreadsheet. The Profits Circle was built for households that want to test their own assumptions, revisit them as life changes, and understand the historical context behind every number shown.

Instead of a single projected outcome, every analysis is presented as a range — anchored in verifiable historical data — so decisions are made with the uncertainty visible rather than hidden.

How It Works

From raw data to a decision-ready report

The same four-step process runs behind every backtest, keeping results consistent and auditable.

01

Define the portfolio or plan

Input an allocation, savings schedule, or goal timeline manually or import an existing structure.

02

Select the historical window

Choose specific decades, market regimes, or let the engine run against the full available data range.

03

Apply the predictive layer

The AI model generates forward-looking probability bands based on historical patterns and current inputs.

04

Review the structured report

Results are returned as charts, drawdown tables, and plain-language summaries, with assumptions logged alongside.

ScenarioWindowMax DrawdownOutcome Range
Balanced 60/401990–2024-28%Wide
Growth-Tilted1990–2024-41%Wider
Conservative1990–2024-14%Narrow
Rebalancing Modeled Inflation-Adjusted Multi-Asset Support
Applied Examples

Where households put these features to use

Retirement timeline stress-testing

Compare how a planned withdrawal rate would have held up across multiple historical retirement start dates, including periods of high inflation or extended downturns.

"Simulate a 4% withdrawal rate starting in any year since 1970 — show the years the plan would have run short."

Education fund allocation review

Map a savings schedule against a fixed enrollment date and see which allocation mixes historically kept pace with tuition growth over a 10–15 year window.

"Test a 15-year education savings plan against three allocation strategies and flag the shortfall risk for each."

Property purchase readiness

Model a shorter-term savings goal with lower risk tolerance, checking how conservative allocations performed over 3–5 year historical windows.

"Run a 4-year savings goal for a down payment and compare cash-equivalent versus conservative mixed allocations."

See these features applied to your own numbers